Methodik zur Unsicherheitsbewertung und Sensitivitätsanalyse für thermische Gebäudesimulationen

Methodology for uncertainty and sensitivity analysis for building performance simulation.

Uncertainties in simulation input have a big influence on building performance simulation results. Nevertheless, uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis is not commonly applied in the design practice and also in scientific research. In this paper a methodology for uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis is introduced. The methodology is applied to an example case to illustrate possible applications. It can be used within the design stage of buildings as well as for simulation -based building operation analysis. The methodology can improve the design process as well as building operation.