4-Stufen-Risikosimulation zur Ermittlung von Mittelabflüssen unter Berücksichtigung des geplanten Baufortschritts

4-step-risk-simulation for the calculation of the cash outflow of the client with consideration to the scheduled construction process

Due to the complexity, the long duration and the needed scale of budget construction projects are high-risk-projects. The common methods can estimate a monetary value for the total risk of a construction project. Nevertheless, for the client it is important to know the date of additional cost for occurred risks to optimize his financial plan. This paper will show how the possible date of risks can be used to estimate a chronological sequence of the cash outflow.