Concurrent Probability of Earthquake and Hurricane
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Bibliographic Details
Author(s): |
Xianglin Gu
(Tongji University)
Yaoyao Zhang (Tongji University) Qianqian Yu (Tongji University) |
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Medium: | conference paper | ||||
Language(s): | English | ||||
Conference: | IABSE Congress: The Evolving Metropolis, New York, NY, USA, 4-6 September 2019 | ||||
Published in: | The Evolving Metropolis | ||||
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Page(s): | 2248-2252 | ||||
Total no. of pages: | 5 | ||||
DOI: | 10.2749/newyork.2019.2248 | ||||
Abstract: |
Infrastructures are inevitably affected by multiple hazards during their service lives. Extreme loads, although occurring in a low frequency, may lead to catastrophic accidents and significant socioeconomic losses. Currently, research work on multi-hazards can be categorized into three groups: (1) joint hazards analysis, (2) physical vulnerability of a structure, and (3) damage analysis of a structure. However, the risk analysis of a structure is usually conducted to assume that the effect of multiple hazards on the structure is the superposition of effects caused by different kinds of hazards, and the interaction of hazards on structural effects is not considered. This paper proposed a theoretical evaluation method for concurrent probability of earthquake and hurricane, which is the basis for multi-hazard analysis of structures. The theoretical solution was validated to be reasonable by the numerical results from Monte Carlo method. |
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Keywords: |
earthquake infrastructure concurrent probability hurricane
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