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Assessment of long-term structural reliability considering climate change effects

 Assessment of long-term structural reliability considering climate change effects
Author(s): ORCID, ,
Presented at IABSE Congress: Structural Engineering for Future Societal Needs, Ghent, Belgium, 22-24 September 2021, published in , pp. 52-60
DOI: 10.2749/ghent.2021.0052
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The assessment of climate change impacts is becoming increasingly relevant for many sciences and engineering disciplines. In this context, climate change may significantly affect the design of new ...
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Bibliographic Details

Author(s): ORCID (Department of Civil and Industrial Engineering, Structural Division, University of Pisa, Pisa, Italy)
(Department of Civil and Industrial Engineering, Structural Division, University of Pisa, Pisa, Italy)
(Department of Civil and Industrial Engineering, Structural Division, University of Pisa, Pisa, Italy)
Medium: conference paper
Language(s): English
Conference: IABSE Congress: Structural Engineering for Future Societal Needs, Ghent, Belgium, 22-24 September 2021
Published in:
Page(s): 52-60 Total no. of pages: 9
Page(s): 52-60
Total no. of pages: 9
DOI: 10.2749/ghent.2021.0052
Abstract:

The assessment of climate change impacts is becoming increasingly relevant for many sciences and engineering disciplines. In this context, climate change may significantly affect the design of new structures and infrastructures as well as the long-term reliability of existing ones designed under the assumption of stationary climate.

A methodology for the assessment of climate change impact on long-term structural reliability is presented, based on the analysis of available information on past and future climate. The procedure relies on the factor of change approach and provide tools for the adaptation of climatic load maps and the evaluation of variations of failure probability and reliability index with time.

The proposed procedure will be illustrated for a relevant case study considering changes in climatic actions and different degradation conditions of structural resistance, which may also be affected by global warming.

Keywords:
structural safety climate change Eurocodes climatic actions long-term reliability
Copyright: © 2021 International Association for Bridge and Structural Engineering (IABSE)
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