Underground travel time estimation for macro simulation models, on the example of the first line in Warsaw

In this paper, the author’s model of underground travel time prediction was presented. The structure of the model can be used to estimate the travel time of any underground line in the planning phase. The model takes into account the length and the variability of running time between stations and stopping time at these stations. Partial models of average running time depending on the length of the sections – for six periods of the working day, developed on the basis of measurements on the first underground line in Warsaw were presented. Similar models for the estimation of the standard deviation of running time were also presented. Stopping times for three types of stations, varying in terms of the average stopping time and location of the station in relation to the city center were estimated. Paper presents also a practical example of the use of the model: evaluation of the impact of additional stations on the travel time on the underground line in Warsaw.