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Failure Probability for Extreme Load Cases evaluated by FE- calculations – A Case Study for the Rockfall Protection Gallery Rieinertobel

 Failure Probability for Extreme Load Cases evaluated by FE- calculations – A Case Study for the Rockfall Protection Gallery Rieinertobel
Auteur(s): , , , ,
Présenté pendant IABSE Symposium: Tomorrow’s Megastructures, Nantes, France, 19-21 September 2018, publié dans , pp. S27-35
DOI: 10.2749/nantes.2018.s27-35
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The safety level evaluation of an existing reinforced concrete rockfall protection gallery for a specific load case is investigated by estimating the failure probability based on the results of dyn...
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Détails bibliographiques

Auteur(s): (Muroran Institute of Technology, Hokkaido, Japan)
(Muroran Institute of Technology, Hokkaido, Japan)
(Matrisk GmbH, Affoltern am Albis, Switzerland)
(Matrisk GmbH, Affoltern am Albis, Switzerland)
(Tiefbauamt Graubünden, Chur, Switzerland)
Médium: papier de conférence
Langue(s): anglais
Conférence: IABSE Symposium: Tomorrow’s Megastructures, Nantes, France, 19-21 September 2018
Publié dans:
Page(s): S27-35 Nombre total de pages (du PDF): 8
Page(s): S27-35
Nombre total de pages (du PDF): 8
DOI: 10.2749/nantes.2018.s27-35
Abstrait:

The safety level evaluation of an existing reinforced concrete rockfall protection gallery for a specific load case is investigated by estimating the failure probability based on the results of dynamic impact response analyses. The three-dimensional elasto-plastic finite element model contains four main parameters with large influence on the impact resistance. Ten FE-simulations with different combinations for the gallery parameters are carried out. A failure criteria is defined by the elastic recovery ratio and used as damage index of the roof slab. A regression function between the elastic recovery and model parameters is obtained from the FE-results and used to establish a surrogate model of the elastic recovery ratio. From it, the probability of failure is assessed by a Monte Carlo simulation. This methodology to predict the failure probability of a structure for a given extreme load case considering the model uncertainties can be applied independently from the model and can be used to compare the safety level with the requirements from the structural codes.