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A Simple Approach for Multi-criteria Decision-making On Basis of Probability Theory

Auteur(s):


Médium: article de revue
Langue(s): anglais
Publié dans: Engineering Structures and Technologies, , n. 1, v. 13
Page(s): 26-30
DOI: 10.3846/est.2021.18404
Abstrait:

In the present paper, a new concept of favorable probability is proposed first, and a simplified approach for multi-criteria decision-making is developed on basis of probability theory. It assumes that all the performance indexes of all alternatives can be divided into beneficial and unbeneficial types in the multi-criteria decision-making, and each performance index of all alternative makes its contribution to a partial favorable probability in positively or negatively correlative manners linearly upon its type of beneficial or unbeneficial; the partial favorable probability of each performance index with the same physical meaning is normalized in the alternative group; the product of all partial favorable probability of an alternative makes the total favorable probability of the alternative. As a consequence, all the alternatives can be ranked according to their total favorable probability comparatively in the multi-criteria decision-making. As application examples of the new method, the quantitative assessment of multi-criteria selection for effective dwelling house walls, project managers and contractor for construction works are given in detail, satisfied results are obtained.

Structurae ne peut pas vous offrir cette publication en texte intégral pour l'instant. Le texte intégral est accessible chez l'éditeur. DOI: 10.3846/est.2021.18404.
  • Informations
    sur cette fiche
  • Reference-ID
    10712874
  • Publié(e) le:
    21.03.2023
  • Modifié(e) le:
    21.03.2023
 
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