A Multi-Objective Prediction XGBoost Model for Predicting Ground Settlement, Station Settlement, and Pit Deformation Induced by Ultra-Deep Foundation Construction

Building a deep foundation pit in urban centers frequently confronts issues such as closeness to structures, high excavation depths, and extended exposure durations, making monitoring and prediction of the settlement and deformation of neighboring buildings critical. Machine learning and deep learning models are more popular than physical models because they can handle dynamic process data. However, these models frequently fail to establish an appropriate balance between accuracy and generalization capacity when dealing with multi-objective prediction. This work proposes a multi-objective prediction model based on the XGBoost algorithm and introduces the Random Forest Bayesian Optimization method for hyperparameter self-optimization and self-adaptation in the prediction process. This model was trained with monitoring data from a deep foundation pit at Luomashi Station of Chengdu Metro Line 18, which are characterized by a sand and pebble stratum, cut-and-cover construction, and a depth of 45.5 m. Input data of the model included excavation rate, excavation depth, construction time, shutdown time, and dewatering; output data included settlement, ground settlement, and pit deformation at an operating metro station only 5.7 m adjacent to the ongoing pits. The training effectiveness of the model was validated through its high R2 scores in both training and test sets, and its generalization ability and transferability were evaluated through the R2 calculated by deploying it on adjacent monitoring data (new data). The multi-objective prediction model proposed in this paper will be promising for monitoring the data processing and prediction of settlement of surrounding buildings for ultra-deep foundation pit engineering.