Estimation of ship bridge collision probability by use of Monte Carlo simulations
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Bibliographic Details
| Author(s): |
Axel Andersson
(SSPA Sweden AB)
Björn Forsman (SSPA Sweden AB) Erland Wilske (SSPA Sweden AB) |
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| Medium: | conference paper | ||||
| Language(s): | English | ||||
| Conference: | IABSE Congress: Challenges in Design and Construction of an Innovative and Sustainable Built Environment, Stockholm, Sweden, 21-23 September 2016 | ||||
| Published in: | IABSE Congress Stockholm, 2016 | ||||
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| Page(s): | 142-149 | ||||
| Total no. of pages: | 8 | ||||
| Year: | 2016 | ||||
| DOI: | 10.2749/stockholm.2016.0142 | ||||
| Abstract: |
This paper suggests a new method for risk assessment in maritime environment. The method is developed in close collaboration between SSPA and the Norwegian Public Road Administration for application to the planned fixed crossing of the Bjørnafjord in Norway. The method is based on principles from big data analysis and inspired by the Monte Carlo simulation technique. The basic idea is to simulate millions of representative vessel movements with stochastic failures in four degrees of freedom aiming to get a geometric distribution of the collision locations and probabilities. |
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| Keywords: |
risk analysis Monte-Carlo simulations bridge collision energy estimations and failure modelling
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